Surely a game that guarantees goals? 11 of Benfica’s 14 home games have finished with over 1.5 goals and 12 of Olhanense’s 14 away games have been over 1.5 goals. These two teams faced each other earlier in the season and Benfica ran out 2-1 winners. Olhanense concede an average of 1.53 goals per game at home in comparison to 2.21 when they are playing away from home. You’d imagine there’s a good chance they win concede at least 2 again. These two teams have met 5 times before and on all 5 occasions there has been over 1.5 goals.

České Budêjovice have scored in all of their home games this season whilst Varnsdorf have managed only 1 clean sheet in all of their away games. České’s home games average 2.43 goals per game and Varnsdorf’s average over 3 goals per game. All of České’s last 5 league home games have been over 1.5 goals and all of Varnsdorf’s previous 5 league away games have been over 1.5 goals. The last time these two teams met in České Budêjovice the game finished 3-3. I fancy more goals today.

Although this is a short price, I’ve stuck it in to boost it up to a 2/1 treble. The stats suggest this bet is a banker. All of De Graafschap’s home games have been 1.5 goals and all over NAC Breda’s away games have been over 1.5 goals. De Graafschap’s home games have produced 4.15 goals per game and NAC’s away games have saw 3.69 goals per game on average.

Tenerife are 17 points ahead of today’s opponents Mirandes in the league but their home/away form is world’s apart. Tenerife are unbeaten at home so far this season, whilst Mirandes have managed only 1 win on their travels, this came against Vallecano who are in the bottom 4. I think the 4/7 here is quite generous but I think this is because Mirandes won the earlier meeting between these two sides 3-2. I am happy to ignore that because Tenerife are sloppy on their travels but absolutely brilliant at their home ground, I think they gain revenge on Mirandes tonight in a 2-0 victory.

Ghoochannejhad has scored 34% of Heerenveen’s goals this season, he’s the penalty taker and he scored twice against tonights opponents when these two sides last met.

Chris Wood has scored 43% of Leeds’ goals this season. Today he faces his old side who have been struggling under Gianfranco Zola. Chris Wood in the penalty taker and has scored 7 goals in his last 10 games.

Werner has scored 31% of Leipzig’s goals and he’s in red hot form with 8 goals in his last 10 games. Leipzig don’t get many penalties but Werner took and scored the last one when Forsberg (who has taken them in the past) was on the pitch, so that suggests to me Werner will take them from now on.